Fine-Tuning Argument

Posted in Religion on March 18th, 2008 by moody

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One of the most confusing arguments today is fine-tuning argument. How is it that the universe is so finely tuned to support life? Everything is at the right distance from everything or nothing would work. Psychical constants are so tight that any variation would bring chaos. Earth is exactly the right distance from the sun so it doesn’t get burned or cooled. If for example nuclear force was only few percent different, it would alter configuration of the stars which in turn would not be able to support the life as we know it. If expansion rate of the universe is larger: no galaxies would form if smaller: universe would collapse, even before stars formed.
There are hundreds of examples like this, and at the first look it does look amazing and impossible. That’s because it is impossible. Chances that the Universe fine tuned itself for our existence is highly improbable and it’s bordering on fantastical improbability.

But this fine-tuning argument is so flawed and answer to me seems so simple that I am really puzzled how some people (including some scientists) do not see it. Answer is following:

It’s all matter of perspective. People who are amazed by this fine-tuning argument are looking at it from the opposite point of view. They’re assuming that we were already existed here and ready to go and universe just showed up and fine tuned itself around our existence so it could sustain us. Or that the Universe popped into existence with us humans in mind. That would indeed be amazing. Universe did not fine-tune itself for us, but it was the other way around. It was the opposite way. Universe was already here and we’re the ones who evolved to fit within that form. Not only us, but stars, galaxies and everything else. If universe was any different, we would’ve just evolved into something different or not exist at all. Galaxies would look different or would not exist. And it’s simple as that. Really. Change you perspective and everything drastically changes.
Another analogy might be in order.
Professor of physics used the firing squad analogy:

A man is due to be executed by firing squad.
No man in the squad has ever missed before.
However on this occasion they all do.
The condemned man is interviewed afterwards and is asked how he feels about this amazing coincidence that everyone in the firing squad has missed.
He replies:

“Of course they missed or I wouldn’t be here talking to you!”

Predicting Market Direction

Posted in Money on March 17th, 2008 by moody

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You wake up one morning and walk over to your mail box. There’s a letter in the mail from a broker or brokerage house, lets call it Big Brother, predicting that S&P500 will go up in price this month. You trash the letter assuming it was spam. Within a month you get a second letter, again from Big Brother notifying you that S&P500 indeed went up and that you missed out on large gains if you had enrolled in their 24 month predictions program. Prediction fee is only $1,995 a year. Second letter also makes another prediction stating that S&P500 will still go up next month.
This catches your interest since they already correctly predicted the move one time but you discard the letter anyway thinking it could be just pure luck. Within a month you go online and check out the price of S&P500 now versus one month ago and indeed it went up again.
Next month you receive a third letter from the Big Brother notifying you of their next prediction that S&P500 will go down this month. Indeed, within a month SP&500 goes down. Three correct predictions in a row. Still could be luck so you discard the letter again but your interest increases exponentially, or at least you already starting to have naughty dreams about money.
You keep receiving these letters month after month correctly predicting what the market is going to do with terrifying precision. By the month five, I guarantee you already checking up your savings (or even a home mortgage) to see if you have some money you can spare to loose. By the month 6 or 7 you’re hooked. You cannot just sit and wait idly while all these wonderful opportunities are passing you by. You have signed and enrolled in their 24 month no refunds prediction program for $1,995 a year. You might think, that’s lot of money, but that’s a very small fee comparing what you will make within a year knowing a fricking direction of the market! You already have excel sheet showing all your debt paid off, travel plans and another sheet where you listed all relatives and friends to take care of once you get rich. Or not.

Here’s how the scam is done from Big Brother’s perspective:

Big Brother starts out with lets say 10,000 prediction letters and splits them into two groups of 5,000. First group (Let’s call it UP Group) of letters is predicting that markets will go UP while the second group (let’s call it DOWN Group) is predicting that markets will go DOWN. Big Brother then mails out all of those letters to different households.
Big Brother
waits and see what the market is going to do and then mails out conformation letters ONLY to the correct group. For example if markets went UP, Big Brother mails out conformation letters only to the UP Group.
DOWN Group
never hears from the Big Brother ever again!
Now they have 5,000 users believing that Big Brother predicted market direction this month.
That’s not enough predictions in a row to convince anyone,so they again split up that group in two. UP and DOWN again with 2,500 customers in each group and do the same thing over and over until some of them take the bait. 2,500 will be split into 1,250 and so on. Eventually they will end up with couple of hundred really trusty customers. If they can do this scam few times over, they can clear few millions of doallrs within two years easily. Interesting part is that some of the customers will actually make money by pure luck so they might sign a contract for another two years not knowing that they’re paying $1,995 a year for essentially a coin flip.

Investing – Game of Chance or Skill?

Posted in Money on March 14th, 2008 by moody

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Huge volumes are written about investing and stock picking so my aim in this article is not to write an essay and be preachy, but just to give you something to think about when you investing and show you that lady luck actually plays enormous role even when professionals are playing with money. Especially your money.

Money Managers

Money Manager is a person that is in charge of buying and selling securities with other people’s money. Their client’s money that is. Money Manager can have hundreds of clients with each bringing more than million bucks. Sometimes combined poll of money can be in billions. Money managers invest that money or portion of that money to sell and buy stocks and other securities as they see fit. It’s in their interest to get a big return on investment since they’re usually take a cut in percentage of the total sum, or even have up front fees. We also all know that there’s some money managers out there that are really successful and have 5, 6 or more years winning streaks, but sooner or later (probably sooner) that winning streak will end, and money manager will start performing mediocre or even very poorly.

They will use best technology and information money can buy, but that will not help them. It’s like a clockwork. Check it out if you like. So what’s going on here? How come money manager who constantly made money 5 years in a row suddenly started performing so poorly? Did he get less skilled as years goes by? Or could it be that all those years he was more lucky than he wanted to admit? But how can it be luck, winning that many years in a row? It’s seems like a paradox. Here’s how it can be done just by chance alone.

Making ordinary people into market gurus

Let’s take a pool of 1,000,000 people (one million) that have no idea on how to invest money. Let alone manage someone else’s money. Those are going to be regular, hard working people with no interest in stocks or securities. Give them each certain sum of money to invest by picking stocks and securities they like for period of 12 months. After 12 months each will have to report their losses or earnings.

What do you think will happen here? You might think that they’re all destined to go broke within few months, but that will not happen. Statistical chance alone dictates that at least 10% (100,000 people) will just get lucky and make money regardless of their skills and experience.

Sure, probably 90% will fail and go broke before year is over, but those lucky 10% WILL make money just by pure luck. Remember: they had no skills or any knowledge of anything related to financial markets. Intuition might play some minor role here but it will be very small. That alone will not make them successful money managers who make profits year after year you might say. Well, we’re not done yet.

10% out of 1,000,000 people is 100,000.

Let’s take remaining 100,000 winners and have them invest for a second year. Again, just by pure luck 10% of those remaining 100,000 people will become successful.
10% out of 100,000 is 10,000. So right now we have 10,000 people that had success two years in a row already.

If you take remaining 10,000 winners and let them invest for a third year then you would have 1,000 successful money managers for three years in a row! 100 successful money manager 4th year in a row and 10 really successful money manager for 5 years in a row. All of them armatures that never seen threshold of financial college.
And that’s how it can be done.

I am not saying that’s how’s done in a real word, but I think that luck plays a way bigger role than people are ready to accept. It’s not easy to detect if your stock picking is just luck or skill, but remember following quote:

“Don’t ever mistake bull market for a skill”

That means that everyone is lucky while investing while markets are going up. It’s not a skill, you just investing at the right time. True skills are seen in bear and stormy markets (like the one we’re in right now at the time of this writing). Just ask any of your friends if they’re making money in todays market or on their 401k plans. By the way 401k plans ARE managed by professional Money managers. To me, it is more important to look at the money manager’s performance during his/hers career then actual fund performance. There’s always a bull market somewhere and you’re depending on a money manager to find it.

Free Will Arguments

Posted in Religion on March 11th, 2008 by moody

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Following article is just for mind and logic exercise purposes.
Debate over if we humans have free will at all is old and debated to a pulp, and trust me it will not get settled here in this article. However, following arguments will show you that the universe with omniscient and omnipotent being, call it God if you like, free will is highly improbable, by any standard of human logic we use in today’s world. I will use omnipotence and omniscience terms strictly taken from dictionary, but for the sake of abbreviation and familiarity I will call it God.
From dictionary:

omniscient all-knowing (possesed of universal or complete knowledge)
omnipotent all-powerful (an agency or force of unlimited power)

Since God is omniscient (all knowing) that would mean that He knows past, present and future. And not only that but He knows everything else, including where every atom, electron, neutron and proton is located in the universe at any time. He is also omnipotent. Which means that He can also create and manipulate all matter and energy at will. (Logicians would probably stop right here and close the book, but lets play along and see what comes out of this.)
With that in mind, lets explore Adolf Hitler for a moment.

In the beginning (no pun intended) God could’ve created a universe in which:

  • Adolf Hitler was bad (causing millions of deaths) or
  • Adolf Hitler was good (lets say he decided to become a ballerina).

Omnipotent being could create either one of those universes, or a million different ones for that matter. As we know now, God creates a world with bad Adolf Hitler. It looks like Adolf Hitler did not have any choice in his course of actions since God already made universe with bad Hitler in mind. Did Adolf Hitler really have any choice here?
Lets see counter-arguments first.

You might counter this argument with following:

“God did not cause Hitler to become bad, God only knew that Hitler was going to become bad”.

In other words, God knew what Hitler was going to do (since God is omniscient), but He did not cause him to do it, he just let it happen (there goes your all-loving argument too).
Fair enough, but this argument is flawed. Here’s how.
Not only that God KNEW, but He also CREATED the world with evil Hitler. Every action starting from the beginning of creation of the universe leading to Hitler being bad was set in motion and was predetermined by God at the beginning of creation. Remember this. In other words, God had to put things in motion at the beginning with evil Hitler in mind, which eventually led to Hitler becoming evil tyrant. It’s a simple law of cause-and-effect. Hitler did not have any choice whatsoever, because if Hitler did have any choice and lets say chose to be good, that would mean that God’s plan to create evil Hitler failed and therefore God is not omnipotent. God not only knew the future but actually placed things in motion. He caused it. He is the Creator after all. At best He made Hitler make bad choice.
You might try to counter this argument with weak analogies like: “I know that the sun will rise tomorrow, but I did not caused it to rise, nor can I prevent it from rising”.
Fallacies right from the start.
First, you do not have a power to create the sun or stop it from rising for that matter, and you’re not omniscient. Therefore you cannot use yourself in analogy. We’re talking about omniscient and omnipotent being. It’s logical fallacy to argue like that. You cannot use non-omniscient person to prove omniscient theory which contains omniscient entity. It doesn’t make any sense.
And more importantly you DO NOT know for a fact that sun will rise tomorrow (again since you’re not omniscient). It’s highly unlikely that sun will explode, gets swallowed by a black hole or that the earth will get knocked out of its orbit, but you really DO NOT know for a fact that sun will rise tomorrow, so you cannot use that argument.

You can also use my child argument which goes like this: “I’ve created my child, but it was his/hers choice to become a gangster. It was his/hers free will”.
For one, you did not create your child with him/her in mind of becoming a gangster. God DID create universe with bad Hitler in mind.
Secondly, you did not have any power or knowledge to create your child as a gangster ahead of time. God DID have power and knowledge ahead of time. So most of the arguments here are deeply flawed.

Or you can use something more logical like following argument (I’ve seen this one a lot):
if I put a bowl of ice-cream and a bowl of cauliflower in front of my child, I know for a fact which one is chosen, the ice cream. My knowing it ahead of time does not restrict my child from making a free choice when the time comes. My child is free to make a choice and knowing the choice has no effect upon her when she makes it.”
Lets see if you can spot fallacy here. No?
He is right. Knowing that something is going to happen ahead of time doesn’t make it actually happen, but that does not apply if YOU were the cause of something happening. Like putting ice cream ball in front of your child! Just by putting an ice cream ball in front of your child, YOU caused your child to eat the ice cream. You were the cause. If you weren’t there, then you would not be able to put ice cream in front of her. But again, you’re not omniscient being and you don’t know what will happen in the future so you could not use that argument anyway. If you throw meat and candy in front of the lion, lion will eat meat. There’s no choice. All you did was fed meat to the lion. You did not gave it a choice. You’re the one that caused lion to eat meat.

You would have better argument if you said that you’ve placed a ball of ice cream of vanilla flavor and chocolate flavor in front of your child, and child picked vanilla based on her free will. But there’s no way of knowing what instrument (instinct, appetite, intuition, free will) child was using in picking vanilla over chocolate so you cannot use this argument to prove anything. I also cannot use it to disprove free will, and I am not. Remember what I said at the beginning: “following arguments will show you that the universe with omniscient and omnipotent being, call it God if you like, free will is highly improbable” Argument with ice cream does not assume there’s omniscient and omnipotent being present.
Another argument you might have is that God can know all your actions but chooses not to. If that’s the case then God is not omniscient since there’s something He doesn’t know.

Beside, no one chooses to be bad or evil. Just think of the absurdity in logic here. If I gave you two choices:

  1. Be good and spend entire eternity in paradise or
  2. Be bad and burn in Hell for eternity.

If you really think there’s choice here, you’re need to see a shrink. What do you think would be a percentage of people that chose number 2? Maybe few schizophrenics and some masochist, but it would be minimal. That’s certainly not the case when we see choices people make in everyday lives. It actually looks like they don’t have any choices. Otherwise we would see huge percentage of people choosing the right path. This of course is all assuming that omnipotent and omniscient being actually exists.

Yet another argument is: “God sees all the potential possibilities we could take, and we get to choose which path“. So essentially, God gives you lots of options and it’s up to you to choose whichever you want.
This is also flawed since God already started the universe He wanted (see evil Hitler argument) and all your choices are predetermined and known ahead of time. God does not only sees potential possibilities, He acts upon one of those possibilities by creating the world we live in right now.

Conclusion

Just looking at it logically, there cannot be all-knowing and all-powerful being in our universe with us humans having a free will at the same time. Not only that, but claiming that all-knowing and all-powerful entity is not being responsible for any of our actions would be logical contradiction of enormous proportions.
That would be the same as if I would to create faulty circuit which I know for sure would cause fire but created it anyway, and circuit indeed caused fire. And then later on blamed that circuit for the problem by invoking a free will. No logic in that at all. Circuit did not have any choice here.
Think of it in simpler terms: All-powerful God creates world knowing that there will be suffering and all other bad stuff but he does it anyway, and then blames objects of His creations (us) for something He started and had previous knowledge of what was going to happen.
Knowing His own future actions, as well as every future occurrence in His own creation, and then actually putting all that into motion effectively eliminates the existence of free will. Therefore you cannot have both: free will and all-knowing and all-powerful entity at the same time.
There’s really no way around this problem. The only way for free will to exists is if God is omnipotent but not omniscient or vica-versa. But then again problem of omniscient and omnipotent being itself is logical fallacy. Logic simply breaks down. At least logic in the world we occupy. Logic we as humans learned. But what other worlds or logic you going to use? This is all we know so we have to debate the issue with what we know and understand.
There are so many contradictions and logical fallacies in theories like these that it’s going to make your head spin, but if you do have a valid argument I would love to hear it. Before you do, please read the article one more time so you don’t present same arguments but in a different skin.
Question still remains. Do humans (or any other animals for that matter) have a true free will (not predetermined by anything internal like your genetics and external like God) or we’re all just driven by cause-and-effect i.e. our instincts, appetites, desires, ability to anticipate, genetics and external causes?

Digital God

Posted in Science on March 6th, 2008 by moody

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At the time of this writing (2008) IBM has already released their Blue Gene/P (see image below) supercomputer which reached its peak speed of 3 Peta flops. I’ve calculated that is 3,000 trillions of calculations per second and you can take it another way: 3 million billions of calculations per second, or 3 quadrillion calculations per second. Believe it or not this is still not at capacities of a human brain which speed was clocked at around 20 million billion calculations per second or 20 quadrillions per second. So Blue gene is approximately 7 times slower (1/7) compared to human brain. However, technology is not growing linearly but exponentially. Processor speed is doubling every year now (used to be every decade, then every two years, then ever 18 months), which by some calculations home computers will reach human intelligence levels by 2025 (probably sooner) while commercial and military grade (like Blue Gene) computers will reach it by the year 2010 or 2012 at the latest. And those are the most conservative estimates. Scary stuff eh?

Update: IBM announces that the last known supercomputer in the Blue Gene series, Blue Gene/Q is aimed to reach 10 Peta Flops in the 2010-2012 time frame.

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Image of IBM’s Blue gene


Lets think about that for a second. What could we accomplish once we have a non-biological technology equivalent to a human brain in our arsenal? Well for one, with that kind technology we will be able to make even faster processors and exponentially even better technology. This will make technology grow even faster at neck-breaking speeds. It’s inevitable.
One of those technologies are going to be nanobots ( Nano robots). They are micro scale (10-9 meters) programmable robots that can perform variety of duties with breathtaking accuracy and speed.
In medicine for example nanobots can be let into your blood stream to regulate your blood pressure, cholesterol, repair and rejuvenate cells, kill cancer cells, viruses and even make new and better proteins. They can even replace or at least interact (improve) neurons in our brain. Possibilities are truly endless, but the last one sounds the most interesting one so lets stick with that one.
In about 2025 nanobots will be able to map and copy our brain (every neuron, ever synapse, axon and every pathway) very accurately and save that information somewhere in a digital form, external from our bodies. We will be able to save our scanned brain to a hard drive or whatever medium will be used at the time. Our home computers will actually have enough power to sift through all that information and process it.
Now, the only thing we need in order to awaken our digital brain is software. Nanobots can take care of that too. Since they’re already in our brains mapping and copying information they can also simply mimic and learn from our biological brain and model appropriate software for our newly crafted digital brain. With the help of exponential growth, nanotbots will be able to make even better and more efficient software to run that digital brain than the one we have in our brains right now.
Next thing we need would be to find a way to communicate with our digital brain. This will be done wireless. Just like your wireless mouse can communicate with your PC right now, uploaded neurons would communicate via wireless with your biological neurons simulating all sensory experiences. This will probably be achievable through specialized glasses or implanted wireless chip into your brain.
We will have same memories, same senses and some scientists believe that our digital brain will indeed be conscious of itself.
As far as we can tell all of our current senses come from the actual interactions of neurons in our brains. Our digital mind will be able to do the same thing. Imagine now if we uploaded our brain to Internet. We would truly have endless sensory capabilities. Everywhere you went online, it would be communicated back to your true self through Internet back to your PC and then back to your biological brain. Everything from smell, taste, fear, ecstasy will be so realistic that you will not be able to distinguish it from reality. Words like online chat, blogging and Cyber-sex will reach a whole new meaning. Your digital self will be able to roam Cyber-space freely and unrestricted. Not only our digital brain will enable us to have true remote experiences, but it will be able to act as its own entity and think for itself and feel itself. Independent of our physical bodies. That means that after we die, our mind would still live on somewhere in a digital form, and since it’s modeled on our actual brain it will probably act as real us, have same or similar personality as us.
It will be able to interact with other digital humans and experience sensory stimulants beyond anything imaginable by today’s standard.
The word travel for example will also become meaningless. Lets say for the sake of argument that in the year 2030 you would like to travel to Paris and wanted to see The Eiffel Tower. Would you be able to send your digital mind (which will have exact same sensory experience as your whole-self would’ve had) instead? Yes you would. What’s experience anyway? You digital mind would have the same experience and same sensory outputs/inputs as your true self and would be able to beam that info back to your true self via Internet. Think of it as an extension to your brain. Think of it as if your neurons can reach all the way to Paris. No physical body is needed since even now, everything we see, feel, smell, touch, hear and remember is done in our brains. Everything. Period. You arm does not feel pain when you poke it. Your brain does. Your heart does not feel love. Your brain does. So you would indeed have the same experience as if you were really in Paris with your true physical body. You would not be able to tell the difference.
Even today we cannot distinguish some dreams from the actual reality even shortly after we wake up. Virtual Reality software and hardware is so advanced now that you would have a hard time making out what the reality is while using one of those things. Brain is the best 3D software there is.
Now, lets take the travel one step further.
Since all forms of communications will be done wireless, we would actually be able to upload our digital brains to a space satellite and for the first time see the Earth from outer space. And to take it even further; we would be able to make as many copies of our digital brain as we want so we could send number of them on the way to different planets and stars. We would drift away on our galactic plane into the vastness of the Cosmos and be able to safely explore mysteries and dangers of our universe.
Think about it. All of that from the comfort of our living room. Of course since our digital brains would be able to travel just at the speed of light (radio waves travel at the speed of light), we would be limited on how far we would be able to go. For example: we could explore our solar system within minutes, but closest star would take about eight years (4 years in each direction) so it would not be really practical.
Physical property (housing, cars, buildings, etc) will loose it’s value and will give way to a virtual property. As our digital brains are multiplied and self replicated, demand for online property will grow exponentially. More and more our lives will consist of less physical interaction. We could actually hibernate ourselves and live out our entire lives in a virtual environment (Matrix anyone?) and essentially reach virtual immortality.
Eventually our digital brain will want its own body, and it will be able to make it. It would probably first look like hologram (see picture below), but by the inventions of organic printers (printers that can print organic material on atomic and molecular level) it will be able to produce exact copy of you.
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Digital Brain Hologram


Estimates are that by year 2035 technology will far surpass human intelligence and nanobots will be able to replicate itself with terrifying speed. And not only that but they will be able to learn and share information instantaneously between each other which will in turn jump start development and technological advance even faster. Law of cumulative returns dictaes exactly that. The fact is that there’s nothing we can do to surpass our biological brain speed limit of 1026 calculations per second. That might seem huge to you , but non-biological entities (computers and technology itself) will far exceed that number by the year 2035. Law of accelerating returns almost guarantee that. Some scientists and mathematicians think that will exceed it by a factor of thousand and by the year 2099 by the factor of trillion. By that time computing will be done on quantum scale (qubits instead of bits) and true immortality will be reached. Taking over humans race is inevitable. If that’s the case than there’s no doubt in my mind that we will reach a whole new level of evolution and human race as we know it will probably become obsolete at some point. It will be replaced by a new digital species that might resemble humans at some point but probably not in a distant future.
Once we could not develop ourselves any further on our biological evolutionary scale (at least not without destroying ourself and consuming every little resource this planet has to offer), we’ve jump started natural selection and created a whole new species on the fly.
Think about what we’ve created here.
It took universe 9 billion years to create earth.
It took evolution 3 and half billion years to create humans.
It took humans about 10,000 years (only 200 of technological advancement) years to create entity better, smarter and more efficient then the actual creators themselves. This is what some call Singularity. They in turn are able to create yet another species that is even more advanced and so on. This will go on until there is bodiless super-intelligence in the universe that lives (if you can call it that) in a totally different dimensions and can create matter, energy, worlds, other beings and anything it likes at will.
I’ll leave it to your imaginations to guess what we’ve created here.

This article was inspired by scientists, free thinkers and transhumansits like: Isaak Asimov, Carl Sagan, John Archibald Wheeler, Richard Feynman and Ray Kurzweil.

Infinite Being – Impossible Concept

Posted in Science on March 1st, 2008 by moody

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Problem with calling something infinite is multi fold.

Problem 1: If there’s some being we can call infinite in the universe than there would be no more room for anything else to exist so infinity in itself is contradictory term (aside from some abstract mathematical possibility). For example: If we placed a ball with infinite 3 dimensional properties (infinite height, width and length) in the middle of our universe, that ball would occupy infinite space (all of it to be exact), therefore there would be no chance for anything else to exist but that ball, because if you’re capable of placing something else, lets say a secondary ball along that infinite ball, then infinite ball suddenly becomes finite, because space that our secondary ball occupies would displace some of the space that our infinite ball previously occupied.

Problem 2: Now, you can say that infinite being is outside of our time/space (or even higher dimensions). But if that’s the case then being like that cannot, will not and never was interfered with our affairs since was never present in our time/space and therefore its existence is meaningless to us.
Problem 3: You can also say that Infinite Being is everywhere. If it’s everywhere, then why can’t we see it?

Just some random thoughts I put out there even if it does not make sense.

Earth’s Final Sunset And Three Step Solution To Avoid It.

Posted in Science on February 28th, 2008 by moody

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I read an interesting article in space.com today and I thought I just put some of my thoughts down on the subject before they drift away into oblivion..

Here’s excerpt from the article:

“A new calculation predicts that Earth will be swallowed up by the sun in 7.6 billion years, capping off a longstanding debate over whether the sun’s gravitational pull will have weakened enough for Earth to escape final destruction or not.
After a billion years or so you’ve got an Earth with no atmosphere, no water and a surface temperature of hundreds of degrees, way above the boiling point of water,” Smith told SPACE.com. “The Earth will become dry basically. It will become completely impossible for life of any kind to exist. It’s a pretty gloomy forecast.”

Read full article here.

Some of you might say “start packing”, or start purchasing that “doomsday insurance policy”, but we have a long way to go, and I thought up a perfect solution on how to escape this really horrifying demise anyway, so put your suitcases away and listen up.

Easy three step solution to avoid earth’s destruction:

Current trend on how to avoid disaster of this magnitude is to simply pack our bags and colonize other planets or send city-sized spaceships filled with people into the space and have them drift away until they reach habitable planets. That’s all nice and dandy but why spend time, resources and probably lives colonizing other planets and building huge spaceships when we already have one. You’ve guessed it. Earth. The only thing we have to do is to move the Earth away from the Sun before sun gets big. That’s it. Or better, transform the actual earth into a spaceship itself. Let’s call it The Earth-Ship. Imagine the possibilities. If you thought that this would have some challenges you were right. Not only we have to escape expansion and horrid heat of our sun, but we would have to find a new one, since as soon as our Sun expands as far as its own gravitational core allows it, it will implode and probably become useless white dwarf, so I made following instruction in three easy steps just to prevent that from happening. So Astro-Physicists and Cosmologists pay attention.

  1. Building custom atmosphere. We need to build our own atmosphere here on earth and be able to turn it on and off at will. And I’m not talking about just any natural atmosphere induced by algae growth (yawn…) or some other “slow” process that scientist are planning to implement on Mars. We need a complete protection, functionality and transparency from the outside space. Something like artificial sphere or a cocoon with its own weather system controlled completely by humans (or AI if advanced enough to be trusted). Not only this atmosphere will have to protect us from alien outside factors, but also from asteroid or comet impacts so it will have to be also very sturdy or very dense. We would have to be able to control everything from rain, sunshine, oxygen and magnetic fields to photosynthesis. If you all watched movie “The Truman Show” you will get the picture. If you haven’t, spoiler alert now! In the movie the whole city with some of the surrounding area is encapsulated into artificial bubble and everything from weather to sunlight is artificially produced and controlled by mad producer/director/creator Cristof (played by Ed Harris). We will have to build something like that but on a global or should I say “celestial” scale. It will also have to be very transparent so we would be able to get on with our lives uninterrupted. Considering that science progress is non-linear some scientist think we’re actually only 100-300 years away from developing technology like this. Let’s say we’re 1000 years away just to be safe.
  1. Harnessing Sun’s energy. Next thing we need to figure out is how we’re going to live on our Earth-Ship without our Sun. Most of the life on earth depends on sun so let’s just all agree that we really need it. We could probably harness enough energy from our current Sun before we fly away into space. That would give us enough manipulative energy until we reach our first closest star. Now, our closest star Proxima Centauri is four light years away (4.2 actually), which would mean it would take us four years to reach it if we traveled at the speed of light, and with anti-matter rocket propulsion and solar sail some scientist really believe we can reach at least 10% of light speed. If you’re worried on how will human body endure 10% speed of light travel, don’t. It’s done by gradual acceleration and deceleration so humans won’t even feel the impact of speed. Moving on… So we need to conserve at least 40 years of Suns energy; probably double or triple that just to be sure. (Ironically one could say we already are doing this by uhmm “greenhouse effect”). Once we approach Proxima Centauri we would have to calculate exactly prefect distance from Earth-Ship to the star so we can stop the Earth-Ship at that point and start harnessing its energy. We don’t want to get to close, but just to be safe bring your sunscreen. When we get bored, we would then move to other stars or simply stay in certain orbit if it comfort allows. We would also need to become masters of not only converting mass into energy (burning a lump of coal for example) but also turning energy into mass (closest example for this is photosynthesis). Some scientists are saying that we’re tens of thousand of years away from achieving something like this. To be safe let’s just say we’re 100,000 years away. Just to put it into perspective: that’s ten times longer then our current recorded human history.
  1. Navigate the seas of the stars. Final thing we need to figure out is how to propel the Earth and navigate it the way we wanted it, and thus escape sun’s gravitation pull and basically hurl ourselves away on our own galactic plane into the vastness of space. Closest analogy to something like this I can think of would be “Death Star” from Star Wars movie. There are many things we could do this with. One possibility is to use “solar sail” which is exactly what it says it is. Build a huge sail and have our Sun’s radiation propels us into the space. Scientists are already planning to propel space ships with this kind of technology. But why stop at the space ships? Why not “sail away” with the whole earth. Remember: once in motion, object (our earth) stays in motion until we or something else stops it. That would give us enough power to drift away into space until the need to change direction arises. To avoid asteroid hits would be one of those needs for example. In that case we would have to have some other means of manipulating Earth-Ship trajectory. One way would be to use anti-matter rocket propulsion system where we would just fire up our rockets as needed and basically repel-away from the objects. This way we would also be able to navigate the earth through the space as we wish. Some interesting fact: Right now, antimatter is the most expensive substance on Earth, about $62.5 trillion a gram ($1.75 quadrillion an ounce). To put that in perspective: To produce one gram  of Anti-matter would bankrupted whole world economy. Combining solar sail with anti-matter rocket system (depending on the size of course) should probably give us enough power and energy to escape Suns gravitational pull. There’s another non-conventional way to propel Earth-Ship would by bending (or folding) the space/time continuum to get us from A to B quicker. For example take a flat piece of paper and draw a dot on one end and call it point A. Next, draw a dot on opposite edge of paper and lets call it point B. If you have an ant that wants to go from point A to point B, you could simply have it run along the paper and eventually will get there. But, if you take the paper and fold it in half, two points will reach each other lot quicker. Another good analogy is piano on a carpet. If you want to get to the piano from one end of the carpet, why not just pull the rug towards you and piano will move towards you also. Just substitute carpet and paper with time/space. This is essentially folding of space/time. We’re probably few hundred thousand years away from technology that will allow us to do this. Just to be safe let’s say we’re 5 million years away from this kind of technology.

There you have it. In about 5,101,000 years we will be ready to move away from our Sun and look ahead where our race will drift eternally on a great cosmic journey. All that with 994,899,000 years to spare!

Republicans – True Patriots. NOT

Posted in Politics on February 27th, 2008 by moody

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Is worshiping a flags and pins considered patriotic?
Is giving the president free hands to do whatever he wants juts to protect country from “terrorists” patriotic?
Is protecting the business interests over public’s considered patriotic?
Is putting your party before people considered patriotic?
Is cutting off medical benefits to the vets patriotic?
Is trying to privatizing social security by giving it to criminals on the Wall Street patriotic?
Is fighting so hard for oil and drug companies instead for people considered patriotic?
Is running for government office on a “government is bad” platform considered patriotic or just plain stupid?
I really have no idea who in the right mind could vote republican (except really rich) since; all of the above are republican characteristics.
First thing I asked myself is “why would anyone hold such a stance”? Answer actually came to me real quick. Because they’re cowards. That’s why! Republicans and people who vote republicans gotta be the most insecure, out of touch, hypocritical, scared little creatures on the planet. Fear is another reason why they’re lobbying against gun control. They need guns to protect their precious land from the enemy that will never come. What enemy? Blacks? Latinos? Roger Rabbit? They’re sorry bunch indeed. Sorry if you get offended but I cannot be kind about this and actually I don’t give a shit if you do get offended. Grow up! Moving on.
Every scandal republicans got involved in is the exact thing they’re lobbying against it. It’s like clockwork. I’ll bet you that 80% of republicans that are militantly promoting “family values” and “morality” are either gays or they cheat on their wives, but let’s go back to the terrorist thing.
You mean to tell me that you’re ready to let government listen to your phone calls, take you to jail with no warrants or explanations and destroy every little bit of democracy and privacy you have left just because you’re scared of few fundamentalist cave dwellers? Sure you might say: “they’re more dangerous that you think”. Yes they are, but they’re still cave dwellers!
There is more chance to get killed (and I mean by guns) just by going to high school or college these days, than by terrorists. And you people are scared of insignificant statistical chance? So who’s real coward here?

Prison population and religion

Posted in Religion on February 22nd, 2008 by moody

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Seventy five percent of Americans are God-fearing Christians.
Seventy five percent of prisoners are God-fearing Christians.

Ten percent of Americans are atheists
0.2% of prisoners are atheists

Something is truly wrong here. And I don’t mean numbers.

Bush thinks economy is down because we built too many houses

Posted in Politics on February 19th, 2008 by moody

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Following is excerpt from George Bush’s interview from Today’s Show.

Bush: “Yeah, because we’re buying equipment, and people are working. I think this economy is down because we built too many houses (Curry: hmmmmm) and the economy is adjusting. On the other hand we’re just about to kick out 157 billion dollars to our taxpayers……what would have been had we abandoned Iraq when times were tough and let those soldiers die in vain..”

WTF??? Now, when this guy goes to G3 summit or any kind of important meeting to represent United States of America, aren’t you embarressed? I know I am. And people that voted for this guy should not only be embarrassed, but should be on their fucking knees begging forgiveness from rest of us sane citizens.
Click here for full video.